As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.7% to 0.8% at 41.0% in October Inflation China - Annual — $25.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.7% to 0.8%, is priced at 41.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +10.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 0.7% to 0.8% has traded between 23.5% and 41.0%. It opened at 28.0% and last traded at 41.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 41.0% |
0.7% to 0.8% is favored at 41.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7% to 0.8% | 41¢ | 41.0% | +0.5 pts | $6.2K | 24.2% |
| 0.9% to 1.0% | 41¢ | 41.0% | +4.0 pts | $9.6K | 37.4% |
| ≤0.6% | 10¢ | 10.1% | -0.7 pts | $3.3K | 12.8% |
| 1.1% to 1.2% | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $4.8K | 18.5% |
| 1.3%+ | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.8K | 7.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 42¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 09, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,926 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,926 | $1.1K |
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 670 | $275 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 478 | $196 |
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 301 | $123 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 237 | $97 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Yes | 89 | $37 |
| Bronze-Download-Personality | No | 62 | $36 |
| Crowded-Millstone | Yes | 52 | $21 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 49 | $20 |
| Oddball-Cofactor | Yes | 48 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 03:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.7% to 0.8% at 41.0%. Next is 0.9% to 1.0% at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-china-annual?via=bro
$25.8K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 09, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
0.7% to 0.8%, priced at 41.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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