As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.7% at 89.0% in October Inflation US - Annual — $20.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3.7%, is priced at 89.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +10.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 3.7% has traded between 69.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 89.0%.
3.7% is favored at 89.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7% | 89¢ | 89.0% | — | $8.9K | 43.5% |
| 3.8% | 7¢ | 6.8% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K | 5.9% |
| 4.0% | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $1.5K | 7.4% |
| 3.9% | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $2.3K | 11.3% |
| 3.4% | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $798 | 3.9% |
| ≥4.3% | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $883 | 4.3% |
| ≤3.2% | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $842 | 4.1% |
| 3.5% | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $726 | 3.6% |
| 4.1% | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.2 pts | $1.1K | 5.2% |
| 3.3% | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $712 | 3.5% |
| 3.6% | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $692 | 3.4% |
| 4.2% | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $773 | 3.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.4K has been traded on this event in total, $641 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution source: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,430 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-Atom | Yes | 1,430 | $1.3K |
| Unconscious-Airbag | No | 1,428 | $157 |
| Similar-Nation | Yes | 987 | $879 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 885 | $97 |
| Good-Natured-Angora | Yes | 700 | $623 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 243 | $27 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 169 | $19 |
| Unrealistic-Hassock | No | 124 | $14 |
| Minor-Karate | No | 115 | $13 |
| Well-Informed-Ischemia | Yes | 103 | $92 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 06:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $49 |
| Oct 23, 01:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 10:27 AM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.7% at 89.0%. Next is 3.8% at 6.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-annual?via=bro
$20.4K in total volume, with $641 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm.
3.7%, priced at 89.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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