As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.2% at 34.5% in Core CPI MoM - October 2026 — $7.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.2%, is priced at 34.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 0.2% has traded between 29.0% and 36.5%. It opened at 36.5% and last traded at 33.5%.
0.2% is favored at 34.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | 34¢ | 34.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.8K | 38.1% |
| 0.3% | 32¢ | 32.5% | +3.0 pts | $1.4K | 19.0% |
| 0.1% | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $640 | 8.7% |
| 0.4% | 14¢ | 13.5% | — | $1.1K | 14.7% |
| ≤0.0% | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.8 pts | $690 | 9.3% |
| 0.5% | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $292 | 4.0% |
| 0.6%+ | 2¢ | 2.0% | +1.6 pts | $464 | 6.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 36¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.4K has been traded on this event in total, $573 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 511 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 511 | $335 |
| Crisp-Scarf | Yes | 343 | $118 |
| Practical-Advent | Yes | 241 | $83 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 132 | $86 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 94 | $62 |
| Sympathetic-Back | Yes | 65 | $22 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | No | 55 | $36 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 48 | $17 |
| Elated-Conspirator-Copying | No | 44 | $29 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 40 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 10:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $45 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.6% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.2% at 34.5%. Next is 0.3% at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-october-2026?via=bro
$7.4K in total volume, with $573 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm.
0.2%, priced at 34.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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