As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? — $142.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since May 04, 2026, No has traded between 87.0% and 97.6%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | +0.1 pts | $142.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $142.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$142.8K has been traded on this event in total, $305 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against Hantavirus (including Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) or Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS)) receives full approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA, including its list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,910 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best-Viscose | Yes | 4,910 | $140 |
| Ancient-Excursion | No | 4,428 | $4.3K |
| Darling-Top | No | 2,749 | $2.7K |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 2,282 | $2.2K |
| Strange-Minimum | No | 2,162 | $2.1K |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 1,337 | $38 |
| Same-Deodorant | No | 1,185 | $1.2K |
| Extroverted-Interloper | Yes | 1,111 | $32 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 980 | $28 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 675 | $656 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 08:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.8% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 09:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $77 |
| Oct 16, 12:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $432 |
| Oct 13, 05:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $512 |
| Oct 12, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $49 |
| Oct 11, 12:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $97 |
| Oct 11, 12:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 12:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/hantavirus-vaccine-in-2026?via=bro
$142.8K in total volume, with $305 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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