Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Islam Makhachev at 96.0% in Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026? — $692.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $983.
Leading outcome
Islam Makhachev
96%
A 96.0% price implies roughly a 96-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.5 pts7D +1.5 pts30D +6.5 pts
Islam Makhachev96.0%
Alexander Volkanovski1.5%
Bid
95¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 04, 2026: 22.5% – 96.0% · Opened at 45.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?
Category
mma, Sports, UFC, P4P
Scheduled end
December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$692.6K
Volume (24h)
$983
Liquidity
$30.2K
Markets
23
Leading outcome
Islam Makhachev — 96.0%
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Islam Makhachev, is priced at 96.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.

Since January 04, 2026, Islam Makhachev has traded between 22.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 96.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202694.5%
Oct 18, 202694.5%
Oct 19, 202694.5%
Oct 20, 202694.5%
Oct 22, 202694.5%
Oct 23, 202694.5%
Oct 24, 202696.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Islam Makhachev is favored at 96.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Islam Makhachev96¢96.0%+1.5 pts$4.1K0.6%
Alexander Volkanovski2¢1.5%+1.1 pts$135.4K19.6%
Arman Tsarukyan1¢1.4%+1.4 pts$1.6K0.2%
Petr Yan1¢1.2%+0.3 pts$1.7K0.2%
Alex Pereira1¢1.0%—$1.1K0.2%
Ilia Topuria1¢0.9%—$142.5K20.6%
Magomed Ankalaev1¢0.8%-0.1 pts$118.6K17.1%
Khamzat Chimaev1¢0.7%+0.1 pts$135.2K19.5%
Alexandre Pantoja1¢0.7%+0.1 pts$143.9K20.8%
Merab Dvalishvili1¢0.5%—$1.1K0.2%
Joshua Van1¢0.5%+0.1 pts$1.4K0.2%
Max Holloway0¢0.4%-0.2 pts$1.2K0.2%
Tom Aspinall0¢0.2%—$1.4K0.2%
Dricus Du Plessis0¢0.2%—$1.1K0.2%
Jack Della Maddalena0¢0.1%—$2.2K0.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$692.6K has been traded on this event in total, $983 of it in the last 24 hours, across 23 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 934 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No934$37
Hot-BugleYes412$396
Adventurous-SafariYes225$216
Snappy-RoosterNo207$8
Virtual-PoliticsYes203$195
Crooked-BuildingYes163$157
Unwieldy-Cry-AuntYes100$96
bakayo33 - 9934Yes56$53
Messy-StringYes48$46
Grim-GarageNo44$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $14.5K at 99.7%BUY No — $14.5K at 99.7%SELL No — $198 at 99.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:09 PM ETYesBUY0.9%$0
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETYesBUY0.5%$0
Oct 23, 07:42 PM ETYesSELL0.3%$0
Oct 23, 07:36 PM ETNoBUY99.7%$18
Oct 23, 07:36 PM ETNoBUY99.2%$18
Oct 23, 07:36 PM ETNoBUY99.7%$18
Oct 22, 02:22 AM ETYesSELL0.3%$0
Oct 11, 03:08 AM ETNoBUY99.7%$5
Oct 11, 03:08 AM ETNoBUY99.2%$5
Oct 11, 03:08 AM ETNoBUY99.4%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Islam Makhachev at 96.0%. Next is Alexander Volkanovski at 1.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-1st-in-the-ufc-pound-for-pound-rankings-at-the-end-of-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026??

$692.6K in total volume, with $983 traded in the last 24 hours across 23 markets.

When does Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Islam Makhachev, priced at 96.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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