As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ciryl Gane at 66.5% in Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026? — $395.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ciryl Gane, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: -4.0 pts.
Since January 04, 2026, Ciryl Gane has traded between 16.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
Ciryl Gane is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciryl Gane | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $28.9K | 7.3% |
| Josh Hokit | 29¢ | 28.7% | -0.7 pts | $16.6K | 4.2% |
| Alex Pereira | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $3.3K | 0.8% |
| Tom Aspinall | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $16.6K | 4.2% |
| Alexander Volkov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $32.5K | 8.2% |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.1K | 0.8% |
| Curtis Blaydes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $66.9K | 16.9% |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $48.2K | 12.2% |
| Jailton Almeida | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $521 | 0.1% |
| Serghei Spivac | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $601 | 0.2% |
| Derrick Lewis | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $9.6K | 2.4% |
| Ante Delija | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $584 | 0.1% |
| Marcin Tybura | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $167.1K | 42.3% |
| Rizvan Kuniev | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $439 | 0.1% |
| Tyrell Fortune | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $395 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$395.4K has been traded on this event in total, $326 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,113 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6,113 | $2.0K |
| Crooked-Building | Yes | 1,306 | $869 |
| Misty-Boudoir | Yes | 899 | $598 |
| Ultimate-Hotdog | Yes | 814 | $542 |
| Faint-Pork | No | 800 | $268 |
| Wretched-Postage | No | 756 | $253 |
| Imperturbable-Ironclad | Yes | 721 | $480 |
| Rotten-Atheist | Yes | 579 | $385 |
| Sparse-Outset | Yes | 483 | $321 |
| Shimmering-Spite | Yes | 469 | $312 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 02, 11:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 02, 11:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $81 |
| Sep 23, 06:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $10 |
| Sep 20, 03:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.9% | $1 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $64 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $30 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $30 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $80 |
| Sep 14, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ciryl Gane at 66.5%. Next is Josh Hokit at 28.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-heavyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026?via=bro
$395.4K in total volume, with $326 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.
Ciryl Gane, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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