As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.3% at 39.0% in October Inflation US - Monthly — $25.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 0.3%, is priced at 39.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +4.5 pts.
Since October 14, 2026, 0.3% has traded between 30.0% and 44.0%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 39.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 39.0% |
0.3% is favored at 39.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 39¢ | 39.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.9K | 22.7% |
| 0.2% | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $3.9K | 15.2% |
| 0.4% | 14¢ | 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $6.4K | 24.8% |
| ≤0.1% | 10¢ | 10.5% | +1.5 pts | $7.1K | 27.4% |
| 0.5% | 6¢ | 5.9% | -0.1 pts | $822 | 3.2% |
| 0.8% | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $367 | 1.4% |
| ≥0.9% | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $457 | 1.8% |
| 0.7% | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $378 | 1.5% |
| 0.6% | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $533 | 2.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.9K has been traded on this event in total, $270 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution source: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,622 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Similar-Nation | Yes | 2,622 | $1.0K |
| Each-Summary | No | 967 | $590 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 883 | $539 |
| Bad-Fool-Enrollment | No | 678 | $414 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 497 | $303 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 476 | $186 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 361 | $220 |
| Crisp-Scarf | Yes | 300 | $117 |
| Full-Atom | Yes | 240 | $94 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 164 | $100 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 10:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 12:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 35.0% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 12:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 12:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $121 |
| Oct 23, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.3% at 39.0%. Next is 0.2% at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-monthly?via=bro
$25.9K in total volume, with $270 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm.
0.3%, priced at 39.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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